My Top Two Sleepers At Each Position

By Thief
for fantasysportsthief.com

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Published: August 29, 2010

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Hey all, I figured I’d jump in here with a quick hit list of my top two favorite sleepers this year at QB, RB, and WR. Below each guy I’ve added just a little blurb to back up the decision, and I’ve also included my projections for each of the picks. I’ve got my next draft scheduled for Tuesday so it’s likely that I’ll have an updated top 170 rank list coming out soon. Enjoy!

Quartebacks

1) Joe Flacco (4103 yards, 31 touchdowns, 12 picks)

Flacco has shown a tremendous amount of maturity this off-season. While the addition of Anquan Boldin certainly boosts the Ravens passing attack, the truth is, Flacco has always had the ability and talent around him to be an elite QB, but confidence and maturity held him back. This preseason, we’re seeing confidence in the pocket and sharp long passes as opposed to happy feet and check downs. The Ravens will be a pass first offense this year.

2) Carson Palmer (3899 passing yards, 32 touchdowns, 13 picks)

From 2005 – 2007 Carson Palmer was a top fantasy quarterback. He threw for over 25 touchdowns each season and twice topped 4000 passing yards. Then came the 2008-2009  season injury from a brutal hit to the leg. Palmer came back last year and while he wasn’t perfect, he was pretty damned good. He finished ranked somewhere in the 30′s in most formats and really began to show the qualities again that made him a star. Chad Johnson is one of the most talented WR’s in the league, and is Terrell Owens. This is easily the best 1-2 WR duo in the league. This year, Palmer returns to the top.

Running Backs

1) Clinton Portis (1207 rushing yards, 217 receiving yards, 10 touchdowns)

Portis is a new man, Mike Shanahan can do that to you. He’s working harder at practice, he’s fully committed and he looks good. Portis has always had some of the best talent in the league for backs, but has coupled that with a prima donna attitude and poor workout habits. I’ve seen him going in drafts around the 9th round or for less than $10. That’s simply one of the best deals being offered this year.

2) Pierre Thomas (1304 rushing yards, 267 receiving yards, 10 touchdowns)

This is a new one for me that’s vaulting up my draft board. Fourth year in the league and has improved every season. Has no competition for the ball or for his role due to injuries. Has looked very good in the preseason. It’s the last one that catches me. It seems like New Orleans is going to give Pierre an opportunity to run the ball more and it also seems he likes. I’m seeing Thomas drafted for under $30 and around the 5th round, that’s solid value.

Wide Receivers

1) Esteban Ocho Cinco (1055 yards, 10 touchdowns)

Again, one of the most talented wide-outs in the league. But more importantly, he now sits on the opposite side of the field from one of the other most talented wide outs in the league. I see a really balanced passing attack with a lot of Terrell Owens over the middle passes, and a lot of Esteban Ocho Cinco fly routes. The Bengals just cut Antonio Bryant, so the offense is left to these two. I like Ocho the best, but I like T.O. as a great sleeper too (projecting 989 yards, 7 touchdowns) but I didn’t want to put three guys from the same team down here (can you tell I’m high on the Bengals this year?).

2. Mike Sims – Walker (1070 yards, 8 touchdowns)

He had 869 yards and 7 touchdowns in his second year playing. This is his third year playing. Believe the hype you hear about receivers entering their third year. It isn’t hocus pocus, it’s that they begin to ‘get’ the importance of route running, the defensive schemes they face and learn to game them, and they develop a repertoire with their QB. This team is still focused on the run game and MJD, but Garrard has the arm to deliver the ball to Sims-Walker who should find lots of daylight on those play action passes.

Thoughts?


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What do you have to say?

  • Poppedcolla

    Just did my real draft today.Had first pick.QB Joe FlaccoWR Calvin Johnson, Larry FitzgeraldRB Adrian Peterson, Ronnie BrownTE Antonio GatesBN Santana Moss, Clinton Portis, Malcom Floyd, Brandon Jacobs, LaDainian Tomlinson, Braylon EdwardsK Rob BironasDefense New York GiantsI'm a little worried because I'm without a backup QB in a format that has Passing TDs worth 6 pts. Planned on getting Big Ben later on but was stolen right before my turn. My best option was Matt Moore at the end, and was just going to use my last pick on him when I noticed that Braylon Edwards was still on the boards and decided to snag him for trade fodder later? What should I do Thief? Offer for a QB?And how'd I do?Thanks Thief!

  • Somethingsomething

    wats up thief i just had my draft too the only matchup im concerned about for week 1: ryan grant vs. the eagles or matt forte vs. the lions? my other back is MJD 8)

  • Blad3

    What do you think about DJax and Jennings for Andre Johnson and TO?

  • cjcowboyfan

    hey thief nation. thief i know you don't like to play too many leagues but i used too play 8 leagues at a time. i now play 4 on yahoo.i had my first auction draft in baseball this year and like it, so i went with 2 auction and 2 snakes. on one snake i had second pick and snaged AP. i also got him on my 2 auction drafts.heres my 4 teams, you'll notice i have alot of the same players on multiple leagues{along with alot of cowboys}team Aqb t.romo, m.sanchezrb c.benson, p.thomas, k.moreno, c.portis, m.barberwr m.austin, d.driver, housh,d. bowe{off waivers} santana m.{off waivers}te j.wittenk d.buehlerdef titansteam Bqb t.romo m.sanchezrb AP, s.jacksonm.barber, t.hightowerwr b.marshall, l,evans, s.holmes, d.hester, p.crayton, k.brittte j,wittenk d.buehlerdef cowboysteam Cqb t.romo, j.flaccorb AP, c.benson, c.portis, m.barberwr m.austin, d.driver, a.collie, b.edwards, d.hestertej.wittenk d.buehlerdef cowboysteam Dqb a.smith, m.sanchez{i have an offer out for flacco}rb AP, c.benson, c.portism.barber, r.williams{off waivers} b.jacobs{off waivers}wrm.austin, d.bowe, l.evans,n.burlesonte t.heapk d.buehlerdef titansanythoughts? week 4 i'll prob lose in all 4 leagues, but i really like first 3 teams, and if i can get flacco in the 4th league it could be tough too. sorry so long of a post, but i haven't been on lately although i have been reading

  • The_Thief

    You did excellent here. Picture perfect draft. I think the goal of a solid backup QB is good, but no rush. I'd look to move Jacobs for one, an keep Portis as your primary backup RB. Do any teams have 3 qb's?

  • The_Thief

    I'd roll with Grant. That offense looks awesome. They'll be running all day in the 2nd half.

  • The_Thief

    I like it. I like it a lot.

  • The_Thief

    Team four is the focus here. The other three look awesome. I like u targeting flacco, look for Palmer too.As for the stack of cowboys, this is a great year to own em.

  • Poppedcolla

    Thanks Thief! Definitely have to give you credit where its due. Loved this draft a lot better than my first mock haha. And I looked through the teams, just one has 3 QBs.Here's his team:QB: Rivers, Eli Manning, Big BenWR: Miles Austin, Steve Smith, Johnny KnoxRB: Steve Jackson, Jonathon Stewart, Thomas JonesTE: Celek, CarlsonThinking about moving for Big Ben still. I think he can still have decent value especially after his suspension is over. Problem is that someone in the league has already expressed his interest in a trade for him.

  • Biglil

    Thief, that is what I was waiting to see. SIms Walker will be interesting this year. He came on strong last year. What do you think Boldin as a steal as well. He seems to be getting discounted and dropped on draft boards. Not sure why, you r thoughts?

  • Christomir

    Yo, Thief, I'm not doing fantasy football, cause I know next to nothing about the players… But I did a mock auction draft just for the fun of it, so I would be interested to hear what you think of this team:QB – Joe Flacco (Bal – QB)WR – DeSean Jackson (Phi – WR)WR – Chad Ochocinco (Cin – WR)WR – Dez Bryant (Dal – WR)RB – Chris Johnson (Ten – RB)RB – Adrian Peterson (Min – RB)TE – Fred Davis (Was – TE)K – Jason Hanson (Det – K)DEF – Chicago (Chi – DEF)BN – Carson Palmer (Cin – QB)BN – Chaz Schilens (Oak – WR)BN – Clinton Portis (Was – RB)BN – Montario Hardesty (Cle – RB) BN – Steve Slaton (Hou – RB)BN – Anthony Fasano (Mia – TE)

  • The_Thief

    Hmmm. Might have to offer Jacobs for him str8 up then. That's a stiff offer, but good for you no doubt. Just confirm with me, there's no one else viable on the ww, no other QB's on the block? I'd be emailing to ask. Palmer, Hasslebeck, Flacco, Favre, McBadd. Anyone?

  • The_Thief

    Really! Then yeah he's a steal. I STILL think he's better than Fitz everywhere but the redzone.

  • The_Thief

    HA! You got the top two players in the game. This team would cruise to the gold.

  • Christomir

    Nice :) But if I were playing with that team, wouldn't I have some problems with my production from the TE, K and DEF slots and also with my WR depth?? I mean – I've honestly never even heard of the players I drafted there (except for the WR1 and WR2)…LOL

  • its_andrew

    Thief! So I just hosted my first live draft at my place this past Friday. It got loud and pretty intense.12 Team, Standard, Unfortunately snake draft. (I'm pushing for that auction next year)My Team: 7th Pick.7 Michael Turner, Atl RB (I was surprised he fell down to me at 7th)18 Brandon Marshall, Mia WR 31 Ryan Mathews, SD RB (I thought this was good value at 31st pick?)42 Antonio Gates, SD TE (I was targetting Ocho here and got beat by the guy right before me!! I was so mad! I wanted to go WR here but didn't see any that were of better value than Gates.)55 Michael Crabtree, SF WR 66 T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Sea WR (Was aiming for Portis here, again stolen from my by the same guy that stole Ocho!!!)79 Carson Palmer, Cin QB (Flacco was taken earlier this round, so i had to pull the trigger on Palmer here)90 Jahvid Best, Det RB (Pretty surprised he fell down this low)103 Vikings D/ST, Min D/ST 114 Michael Bush, Oak RB 127 Ben Roethlisberger*, Pit QB (I thought this was a nice steal at backup QB)138 Chaz Schilens, Oak WR 151 Garrett Hartley, NO K 162 Devin Thomas, Was WR 175 Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ WR What are your thoughts? I think I could use some improvement at WR2.

  • Christomir

    To be more specific – I had never heard of Fred Davis, Jason Hanson, Dez Bryant and Chaz Schilens and I have no idea if Chicago's defense is good or not.

  • Poppedcolla

    Hasselbeck, Sanchez, Young, Orton, and Cassel are all on the WW. Feel any love towards them? Which would you rather see a 2-1 trade and picking up Hasselbeck or Jacobs for Big Ben?Maybe an offer for Palmer? He is the backup QB for a team and he was drafted maybe 7th roundish.

  • acsparks714

    Just finished my 3rd and final mock draft. Big day is tomorrow night.QB – Joe Flacco $1RB – Adrian Peterson $61RB – Steven Jackson $41WR – Randy Moss $37WR – Calvin Johnson $29WR – Chad Ochocinco $12TE – Visanthe Shiancoe $1K – Matt Prater $1DEF – WashingtonBN – Matt Ryan $2BN – Clinton Portis $2BN – Jerome Harrison $2BN – Santana Moss $2BN – Malcom Floyd $2BN – T.J. Houshmandzadeh $1Let me know what you think.

  • The_Thief

    In football, TE, K, and DEF are pretty worthless positions. The two backsyou have will score more points than entire teams most weeks.

  • The_Thief

    HA! First are foremost, HOW AWESOME ARE LIVE DRAFTS?! But yeah, auction islike 400 times better, especially live. Given a snake, given your draftslot, I give you an A here. Turner, great snag obviously. Mathews that lateis a gift. I'm glad you opted for Gates, that was the right move. Niceaudible. Best and Bush are total steals, they'll net you whatever WR youwant outside of the top few once the season starts, we'll sell those boyznice n high.

  • The_Thief

    LOL!

  • The_Thief

    ok, i'd target hasslebeck as a pickup for sure, and try to make a move forPalmer. I'd start with jacobs for palmer str8 up.

  • The_Thief

    this is our perfect team, exactly how you want it to go. I love that Ocho isfalling so cheap, what a gift. Bench looks great. One issue, no way Flaccogoes for $1. You'll likely have to take a lesser WR2 in exchange, but that'snot a big issue.

  • Poppedcolla

    Great! Just offered Jacobs for Palmer. Any ideas for an advantageous 2-1 trade to make room for Hasselbeck? Am I looking vulnerable anywhere or something that needs glaring improvement? Theyre thinking about implementing giving add'l pts if a rusher rushes more than 200 yds or a receiver catches for more than 150. And same for a QB for more than 350 yds. Its just a thought for now though.

  • The_Thief

    that boosts the value of receivers, who go over 150 way more than the othertwo occur. Let's wait and let this guy respond, we may end up doin a 2-1 or3-2 with him…

  • Poppedcolla

    Sounds like a plan Thief! I'll keep you updated on the league settings. Do you have a suggestion on whether or not I should vote a certain way? Doesn't sound too bad… I'm not sitting on Moss but I don't feel too bad with Fitz and Calvin Johnson.

  • The_Thief

    I throw those little boosts in. It's just for gimmick, no harm no foul. Justgood to know who benefits the most. For your league, it's WR, then QB, thenRB.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_PM6LBIW4TVGKZHH4UVVIQ4YYH4 peja

    wow.. will have a live draft and an auction today!.. This helps a lot.. do you know that yahoo expanded the number of teams that you can have from 4 to 8

  • The_Thief

    Lol. So I'm told.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_PM6LBIW4TVGKZHH4UVVIQ4YYH4 peja

    just finished my live draft.. Here is my teamQB – Cutler, Hasselbeck (The teams in my league got QB frenzy)RB – Peterson, Best, Brown, PortisWR – Marshall, White, Floyd, Bryant, Mike Williams (TB), GaffneyTE – WinslowK – AkersD/ST – DallasThis is my 2nd year in fantasy.. any comments would help

  • The_Thief

    Well ya did good. A lil weak in QB tho. I'd be shoppin Cutler. See who's available for trade at QB. Look for teams with either 3 QBs or a strongg second one.













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