Published: August 30, 2010
Here’s another quick hit list of players I’m looking to avoid on draft day. Listed with each player is the reasoning behind my feelings. For many of these guys, it has to do with price/position, so obviously if things change I could end up with one of them.
Before I begin the list, one piece of auction advice. It’s in vogue these days for Joe Schmoe fantasy sportswriter to talk about auction strategies and to be giving you advice. The good advice they are giving is to nominate a player you have no interest in, but others do, in the early goings. For us, that’s guys like Drew Brees and Peyton Manning. It’s always smart to take money out of your opponents pockets. The less they have in the bank, the less likely they are to get into a bidding war with you.
The bad advice: bidding up players you don’t want. First are foremost, this is a surefire way to end up with a guy that you don’t want at a price you don’t like. Rest assured there’ll be plenty of morons in the room to do this for you. But it goes beyond that. Check it out, if I’m looking to draft Randy Moss, and someone just nominated Andre Johnson, I actually PREFER him to go cheaper than expensive. You see, people only have the prices that have been paid to use as a benchmark for their own bidding. If Andre Johnson goes for $45, then when I push the price on Randy up to $40, some no brain jack wagon is gonna say ‘Hey, he’s still cheaper than Andre, so I can bid him up’. Likewise, if Andre Johnson goes for $35, when Randy gets to $36 the same jack wagon is gonna say ‘No way am I paying more for Moss than what blahbiddy boop paid for Andre Johnson’. Ya feel me here?
I know I know, we don’t want them getting good deals and whatnot. Listen, prices paid is a small component of how WE win this thing. The bigger component deals with things like: knowing to wait on QB’s, knowing that Randy is a better add than Andre, knowing that Ocho will go cheaper than his worth, knowing we can steal Portis and Flacco on the cheapy cheap. This gets back to my earlier post where we talked about the feeling that you’re going against just one other team. Someone gets Andre on the cheap, someone else gets Turner or Mendy on the cheap and instantly you feel like they went to the same team. Most likely they didn’t, so don’t pay attention at all to what other people got. Stick with your gameplan, bid for your players, and execute.
Players I Don’t Wanna Touch With a Remote Control
OK real quick I gotta explain that last statement. See I have this friend, he’s Serbian and moved here in college. So there’s some US sayings that we got that he doesn’t quite get right. One example occurred when we were trading together. He had a real easy trade that netted a nice profit. He turns to me and wants to say ‘Bato (brother in Serbian) that was a textbook trade’, instead he says to me ‘Bato, that was a school trade’. Yeah, you get it now.
One day we’re talking about this girl we know. She’s cool but apparently he didn’t find her very attractive. So he decides to drop one of these famous one liners he hears, but again messes it up: ‘Bato, she’s so ugly I wouldn’t touch (insert your own word here) her with a remote control!’. Hope you got a good chuckle out of that. Back to the post!
Top Players Bato Wouldn’t Touch With a Remote Control
1) Chris Johnson: yeah yeah, hype hype blah blah. He’s the next coming of Barry Sanders. Fact is, he plays on a terrible offense, he had some serious mileage last year(358 rushes) and most importantly, he’s going for top $$. In fantasy, I value the low risk plays. I’ll take Automatic Paydirt for cheaper every time. One last point: he ran his mouth off in the pre-season boasting he’s gonna go for 2500 yards. This almost ALWAYS means he’s getting to big for his britches and will suffer from it.
2) Maurice Jones Drew: one work for you: knee injury. OK that was two, but you get my point.So long as he’s going for top 5 RB at cost, I’m looking elsewhere.
3) Larry Fitzgerald: Is there anything worse than losing your starting gig to Derek Andersen? No, so Leinart should just quit football now and go star in shampoo commercials. As for Larry, no Quan and no Warner mean he’s a big risk. I’m not taking him unless he slips to the low $20′s for cost.
4) Manning, Brees, Romo, Schaub, Rivers, Rodgers: we’ve gone over this 100 times now: there’s no value in the top tier QB’s. Just ask me, I owned Schaub last year and Rivers the year before. Last year the difference between the #2 and the #9 QB was a whopping 20 points. The difference between 2 and 9 for RB? Oh, only 82 points. For WR it was 40 points, you seein a trend here? And that’s if you get a QB that does no better than 9th overall, WE believe Flacco and Palmer will be at least that good.
5) Jamal Charles, DeAngelo Williams, Ronnie Brown, Joseph Addia, Brandon Jacobs, Marion Barber: Each of these guys has at least one RB on the same team that is as talented as they are. I’ll take my Mendenhall, Jackson, Peterson style workhorses all day. Most importantly, it means their handcuff is dirt cheap. Nothing worse than having to blow a ton of dough on some guys backup.
6) Jay Cutler and Eli Manning: sure, for a second you thought this list was gonna go to 5, but then remembered how much I hate these two guys. No list of guys I ain’t drafting would be complete with out the Boob Duo. Manning, over rated, no solid wide receivers, run first team, and he looks like a pansy. At best, this kid is dead average at QB. That’s 16th overall, no thanks. As for Cutler, again, Cutler threw FIVE more picks last year than the next closest guys. Those next closest guys just happen to be the two rookies Dirty Sanchez and Stafford. Oh, and he’s right back at it this preseason. Unless you get points for your QB tossing TD passes to the Defense, move along.
I’ve got draft #2 tomorrow, first auction of the season. I’ll have my twitter up n running so stay tuned for some serious feedback.
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